SABALENKA
1.27
·
PEGULA
4.22
Odds
Market
Sabalenka
Pegula
Winner
1.27
4.22
Player analysis
A. Sabalenka arrives in exceptional form — five wins from five, all against top-29 opposition. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.4/10, leaving A. Sabalenka vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure.
DS 11.69Trend mixed
J. Pegula arrives in exceptional form — five wins from five, all against top-40 opposition. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.1/10, leaving J. Pegula vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure.
DS 8.81Trend mixed
Recent form
5W 0L last 5
| 28 Mar | Gauff | 6-2 4-6 6-3 | W |
| 27 Mar | Rybakina | 6-4 6-3 | W |
| 26 Mar | Baptiste | 6-4 6-4 | W |
| 23 Mar | McNally | 6-4 6-2 | W |
| 23 Mar | Zheng | 6-3 6-4 | W |
5W 0L last 5
| 5 Apr | Starodubtseva | 6-2 6-2 | W |
| 4 Apr | Jovic | 6-4 5-7 6-3 | W |
| 3 Apr | Shnaider | 3-6 6-3 6-2 | W |
| 2 Apr | Cocciaretto | 1-6 6-1 7-6 | W |
| 1 Apr | Putintseva | 4-6 6-4 7-5 | W |
Hard court stats
SabalenkaStatPegula
72.8%Win rate66.4%
302–113W–L290–147
Avg stats — last 5
1st serve %60%
1st serve won80%
2nd serve won50%
BP converted60%
BP saved40%
Aces5
Double faults1
1st serve %60%
1st serve won70%
2nd serve won50%
BP converted40%
BP saved60%
Aces3
Double faults1
Head to head
Career meetings between these two players (all tournaments), not only this event. The match at the top of the page is the current tournament fixture.
7–2
Indoor 2–1
Hard 4–1
Clay 1–0
| Date | Tournament | Surface | Round | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Finals - Riyadh | Indoor | Sabalenka | 6-4 2-6 6-3 | ||
| Wuhan | Hard | Semi-finals | Pegula | 6-2 4-6 6-7 | |
| US Open | Hard | Semi-finals | Sabalenka | 4-6 6-3 6-4 | |
| Miami | Hard | Final | Sabalenka | 7-5 6-2 | |
| WTA US Open | Hard | Final | Sabalenka | 5-7 5-7 | |
| WTA Cincinnati | Hard | Final | Sabalenka | 6-3 7-5 | |
| WTA Finals - Cancun | Indoor | Pegula | 4-6 3-6 | ||
| Finals - Cancun | Indoor | Sabalenka | 3-6 5-7 | ||
| Rome | Clay | 1/8-finals | Sabalenka | 6-1 6-4 |