WTA Australian OpenHard1/16-finals23 Jan 2026 · 01:40
A. Sabalenka
#1 · Belarus
VS
A. Potapova
#56 · Austria
SABALENKA
1.04
·
POTAPOVA
14.39

Odds

Market
Sabalenka
Potapova
Winner
1.04
14.39
Total
line 14.5
1.03
Over 14.5
7.4
Under 14.5
Total
line 15.0
1.05
Over 15.0
6.9
Under 15.0
Handicap
games
13
-10.0 games
1
+10 games
Handicap
games
7.9
-9.5 games
1.05
+9.5 games

Player analysis

A. Sabalenka arrives in exceptional form — five wins from five, all against top-20 opposition. Serve quality has been average (6.5/10) — neither a weapon nor a significant liability.

DS 10.93Trend mixed

A. Potapova has been inconsistent recently, going 3–2 over the last five matches. Form is mixed — DS ranging from -10.7 to 25.5, with at least one match where A. Potapova was clearly outplayed. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.0/10, leaving A. Potapova vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure.

DS 8.06Trend mixed

Recent form

Hard court stats

Sabalenka
Stat
Potapova
72.8%
Win rate
54.8%
302–113
W–L
137–113

Avg stats — last 5

1st serve %60%
1st serve won80%
2nd serve won60%
BP converted50%
BP saved50%
Aces4
Double faults2
1st serve %60%
1st serve won70%
2nd serve won50%
BP converted50%
BP saved50%
Aces6
Double faults3

Head to head

Career meetings between these two players (all tournaments), not only this event. The match at the top of the page is the current tournament fixture.

30
Hard 10
Clay 20
A. Sabalenka vs A. Potapova head to head match history
DateTournamentSurfaceRoundWinnerScore
WTA Australian OpenHardAustralian Open - 1/16-finalsSabalenka7-6 7-6
RomeClay1/32-finalsSabalenka6-2 6-2
WTA StuttgartClaySemi-finalsSabalenka1-6 2-6