RomeClay1/32-finals9 May 2025 · 11:10
A. Sabalenka
#1 · Belarus
VS
A. Potapova
#97 · Austria
SABALENKA
1.13
·
POTAPOVA
6.39

Odds

Market
Sabalenka
Potapova
Winner
1.13
6.39
Total
line 15.5
1.1
Over 15.5
5.3
Under 15.5
Total
line 16.0
1.13
Over 16.0
4.85
Under 16.0
Handicap
games
5.55
-8.5 games
1.12
+8.5 games
Handicap
games
5
-8.0 games
1.15
+8 games

Player analysis

A. Sabalenka arrives in exceptional form — five wins from five, all against top-29 opposition. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.4/10, leaving A. Sabalenka vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure.

DS 11.69Trend mixed

A. Potapova comes into this match in difficult form — 1 wins from the last 5. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -6.3, meaning A. Potapova has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.1/10, leaving A. Potapova vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure.

DS -6.32Trend up

Recent form

Clay court stats

Sabalenka
Stat
Potapova
69.5%
Win rate
62.6%
91–40
W–L
67–40

Avg stats — last 5

1st serve %60%
1st serve won80%
2nd serve won50%
BP converted60%
BP saved40%
Aces5
Double faults1
1st serve %50%
1st serve won60%
2nd serve won40%
BP converted40%
BP saved60%
Aces2
Double faults6

Head to head

Career meetings between these two players (all tournaments), not only this event. The match at the top of the page is the current tournament fixture.

30
Hard 10
Clay 20
A. Sabalenka vs A. Potapova head to head match history
DateTournamentSurfaceRoundWinnerScore
WTA Australian OpenHardAustralian Open - 1/16-finalsSabalenka7-6 7-6
RomeClay1/32-finalsSabalenka6-2 6-2
WTA StuttgartClaySemi-finalsSabalenka1-6 2-6