WTA Australian OpenHardSemi-finals29 Jan 2026 · 09:45
A. Sabalenka
#1 · Belarus
VS
E. Svitolina
#8 · Ukraine
SABALENKA
1.24
·
SVITOLINA
4.58

Odds

Market
Sabalenka
Svitolina
Winner
1.24
4.58
Total
line 16.5
1.08
Over 16.5
5.65
Under 16.5
Total
line 17.0
1.11
Over 17.0
5.25
Under 17.0
Handicap
games
10.7
-8.5 games
1.03
+8.5 games
Handicap
games
10.2
-8.0 games
1.04
+8 games

Player analysis

A. Sabalenka arrives in exceptional form — five wins from five, all against top-9 opposition. Dominance has been solid and consistent, averaging DS +10.6 (range: -2.0 to 22.9). The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.5/10, leaving A. Sabalenka vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Good performance in key moments — break point efficiency of +19 over the last five.

DS 10.57Trend up

E. Svitolina has been inconsistent recently, going 3–2 over the last five matches. Matches have been close throughout — average DS of +0.6 with a downward trend. E. Svitolina is winning on the scoreboard but not pulling away. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.8/10, leaving E. Svitolina vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Good performance in key moments — break point efficiency of +12 over the last five.

DS 0.59Trend down

Recent form

Recent form bar chartWWWWW

5W 0L last 5

15 MarRybakina3-6 6-3 7-6W
14 MarNoskova6-3 6-4W
12 MarMboko7-6 6-4W
10 MarOsaka6-2 6-4W
8 MarCristian6-4 6-1W
Recent form bar chartLWWWL

3W 2L last 5

14 MarRybakina7-5 6-4L
12 MarSwiatek6-2 4-6 6-4W
10 MarKrueger4-6 2-6W
8 MarSiegemund6-7 6-4 3-6W
21 FebPegula2-6 4-6L

Hard court stats

Sabalenka
Stat
Svitolina
72.8%
Win rate
67.1%
302–113
W–L
330–162

Avg stats — last 5

1st serve %70%
1st serve won70%
2nd serve won60%
BP converted40%
BP saved80%
Aces8
Double faults3
1st serve %60%
1st serve won70%
2nd serve won40%
BP converted50%
BP saved60%
Aces4
Double faults5

Head to head

50
Hard 20
Clay 30
A. Sabalenka vs E. Svitolina head to head match history
DateTournamentSurfaceRoundWinnerScore
WTA Australian OpenHardSemi-finalsSabalenka6-2 6-3
MadridClaySemi-finalsSabalenka6-3 7-5
WTA CincinnatiHard1/8-finalsSabalenka7-5 6-2
WTA RomeClay1/8-finalsSabalenka6-4 1-6 6-7
WTA French OpenClayQuarter-finalsSabalenka4-6 4-6