Odds
Player analysis
A. Sabalenka arrives in exceptional form — five wins from five, all against top-9 opposition. Dominance has been solid and consistent, averaging DS +10.6 (range: -2.0 to 22.9). The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.5/10, leaving A. Sabalenka vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Good performance in key moments — break point efficiency of +19 over the last five.
E. Svitolina has been inconsistent recently, going 3–2 over the last five matches. Matches have been close throughout — average DS of +0.6 with a downward trend. E. Svitolina is winning on the scoreboard but not pulling away. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.8/10, leaving E. Svitolina vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Good performance in key moments — break point efficiency of +12 over the last five.
Recent form
Hard court stats
Avg stats — last 5
Head to head
| Date | Tournament | Surface | Round | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| WTA Australian Open | Hard | Semi-finals | Sabalenka | 6-2 6-3 | |
| Madrid | Clay | Semi-finals | Sabalenka | 6-3 7-5 | |
| WTA Cincinnati | Hard | 1/8-finals | Sabalenka | 7-5 6-2 | |
| WTA Rome | Clay | 1/8-finals | Sabalenka | 6-4 1-6 6-7 | |
| WTA French Open | Clay | Quarter-finals | Sabalenka | 4-6 4-6 |

