MadridClaySemi-finals1 May 2025 · 22:00
A. Sabalenka
#1 · Belarus
VS
E. Svitolina
#7 · Ukraine
SABALENKA
1.5
·
SVITOLINA
2.79

Odds

Market
Sabalenka
Svitolina
Winner
1.5
2.79

Player analysis

A. Sabalenka arrives in exceptional form — five wins from five, all against top-31 opposition. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.3/10, leaving A. Sabalenka vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Break point efficiency is a red flag — A. Sabalenka has been losing the important points, with a BP efficiency of -11 over recent matches.

DS 10.42Trend mixed

E. Svitolina has been inconsistent recently, going 3–2 over the last five matches. Dominance has been solid and consistent, averaging DS +10.0 (range: -9.1 to 31.8). The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.0/10, leaving E. Svitolina vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure.

DS 10.04Trend up

Recent form

Clay court stats

Sabalenka
Stat
Svitolina
69.5%
Win rate
66.3%
91–40
W–L
120–61

Avg stats — last 5

1st serve %60%
1st serve won70%
2nd serve won50%
BP converted50%
BP saved40%
Aces4
Double faults2
1st serve %70%
1st serve won70%
2nd serve won40%
BP converted30%
BP saved60%
Aces5
Double faults2

Head to head

Career meetings between these two players (all tournaments), not only this event. The match at the top of the page is the current tournament fixture.

50
Hard 20
Clay 30
A. Sabalenka vs E. Svitolina head to head match history
DateTournamentSurfaceRoundWinnerScore
WTA Australian OpenHardAustralian Open - Semi-finalsSabalenka6-2 6-3
MadridClaySemi-finalsSabalenka6-3 7-5
WTA CincinnatiHard1/8-finalsSabalenka7-5 6-2
WTA RomeClay1/8-finalsSabalenka6-4 1-6 6-7
WTA French OpenClayQuarter-finalsSabalenka4-6 4-6