Odds
Player analysis
A. Tomljanovic comes into this match in difficult form — 2 wins from the last 5. Form is mixed — DS ranging from -6.6 to 20.4, with at least one match where A. Tomljanovic was clearly outplayed. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.6/10, leaving A. Tomljanovic vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Break point efficiency has been exceptional (+26) — converting opportunities and shutting down threats at the critical moments.
A. Sevastova comes into this match in difficult form — 0 wins from the last 5. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -12.2, meaning A. Sevastova has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.2/10, leaving A. Sevastova vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Break point efficiency is a red flag — A. Sevastova has been losing the important points, with a BP efficiency of -20 over recent matches.
Recent form
2W 3L last 5
| 31 Mar | Vekic | 6-3 1-6 4-6 | L |
| 20 Mar | Anisimova | 6-1 5-7 6-4 | L |
| 17 Mar | Waltert | 3-6 4-6 | W |
| 8 Mar | Paolini | 5-7 7-5 1-6 | L |
| 6 Mar | Wang | 3-6 1-6 | W |
0W 5L last 5
| 13 Jan | Osuigwe | 2-6 0-6 | L |
| 3 Jan | Kraus | 6-4 6-7 6-3 | L |
| 11 Dec | Rajaonah | 7-5 4-6 6-3 | L |
| 27 Oct | Joint | 6-2 4-6 3-6 | L |
| 26 Sep | Paolini | 6-1 6-3 | L |

