ATP Indian WellsHardIndian Wells - Semi-finals14 Mar 2026 · 21:45

Zverev

#3 · Germany

Sinner

#1 · Italy

ZVEREV

5.62

SINNER

1.18

Odds

Winner

5.62

1.18

Total

line 16.5

1.05

Over 16.5

6.55

Under 16.5

Total

line 17.0

1.06

Over 17.0

6.15

Under 17.0

Handicap

games

3.48

-2.0 games

1.27

+2 games

Handicap

games

2.98

-2.5 games

1.35

+2.5 games

Player analysis

A. Zverev

A. Zverev shows a 4–1 form record, though the level of opposition has been mixed — average ranking of opponents is 32. Dominance has been solid and consistent, averaging DS +10.2 (range: -14.9 to 26.9). Serve quality has been average (6.6/10) — neither a weapon nor a significant liability. Break point efficiency is a red flag — A. Zverev has been losing the important points, with a BP efficiency of -23 over recent matches.

DS 10.25Trend up

J. Sinner

J. Sinner arrives in exceptional form — five wins from five. Serve quality has been average (7.0/10) — neither a weapon nor a significant liability.

DS 15.02Trend mixed

Recent form

A. Zverev

4W 1L last 5

25 Apr	Navone	1-6 6-3 3-6	W
18 Apr	Cobolli	3-6 3-6	L
17 Apr	Cerundolo	5-7 6-0 6-2	W
16 Apr	Diallo	6-1 6-2	W
14 Apr	Kecmanovic	6-3 3-6 7-6	W

J. Sinner

5W 0L last 5

26 Apr	Moller	6-2 6-3	W
24 Apr	Bonzi	6-7 6-1 6-4	W
12 Apr	Alcaraz	6-7 3-6	W
11 Apr	Zverev	1-6 4-6	W
10 Apr	Auger-Aliassime	3-6 4-6	W

Hard court stats

Zverev

Stat

Sinner

66.9%

Win rate

80.5%

341–169

W–L

248–60

Avg stats — last 5

A. Zverev

1st serve %70%

1st serve won70%

2nd serve won60%

BP converted50%

BP saved20%

Aces3

Double faults2

J. Sinner

1st serve %60%

1st serve won80%

2nd serve won70%

BP converted50%

BP saved50%

Aces4

Double faults1

Head to head

Career meetings between these two players (all tournaments), not only this event. The match at the top of the page is the current tournament fixture.

2–8

Clay 1–1

Hard 1–4

Indoor 0–3

A. Zverev vs J. Sinner head to head match history
Date	Tournament	Surface	Round	Winner	Score
11 Apr 2026	Monte Carlo	Clay	ATP Semi-finals	Sinner	1-6 4-6
28 Mar 2026	Miami	Hard	ATP Semi-finals	Sinner	3-6 6-7
14 Mar 2026	ATP Indian Wells	Hard	Indian Wells - Semi-finals	Sinner	2-6 4-6
12 Nov 2025	Finals - Turin	Indoor		Sinner	6-4 6-3
01 Nov 2025	Paris	Indoor	Semi-finals	Sinner	0-6 1-6
26 Oct 2025	Vienna	Indoor	Final	Sinner	3-6 6-3 7-5
26 Jan 2025	Australian Open	Hard	Final	Sinner	6-3 7-6 6-3
18 Aug 2024	ATP Cincinnati	Hard	Semi-finals	Sinner	7-6 5-7 7-6
05 Sep 2023	ATP US Open	Hard	1/8-finals	Zverev	6-4 3-6 6-2 4-6 6-3
15 Apr 2022	Monte Carlo	Clay	Quarter-finals	Zverev	7-5 3-6 6-7