Odds
Player analysis
Z. Zhang comes into this match in difficult form — 2 wins from the last 5. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -2.3, meaning Z. Zhang has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.1/10, leaving Z. Zhang vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Break point efficiency has been exceptional (+26) — converting opportunities and shutting down threats at the critical moments.
Y. Uchiyama has been inconsistent recently, going 3–2 over the last five matches. Form is mixed — DS ranging from -13.2 to 11.0, with at least one match where Y. Uchiyama was clearly outplayed. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.4/10, leaving Y. Uchiyama vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure.
Recent form
2W 3L last 5
| 9 Mar | Wong | 6-1 3-6 6-3 | L |
| 23 Feb | Auger-Aliassime | 6-3 7-6 | L |
| 18 Feb | Mensik | 6-3 6-2 | L |
| 17 Feb | Baena | 6-4 6-4 | W |
| 15 Feb | Bolt | 6-2 6-4 | W |
3W 2L last 5
| 11 Feb | Zhang | 6-4 7-6 | L |
| 10 Feb | Hewitt | 5-7 5-7 | W |
| 7 Feb | Sweeny | 6-3 6-3 | L |
| 6 Feb | Bolt | 2-6 7-6 2-6 | W |
| 4 Feb | Marinkov | 4-6 6-3 1-6 | W |

