A. Kovacevic comes into this match in difficult form — 2 wins from the last 5. Form is mixed — DS ranging from -5.5 to 12.1, with at least one match where A. Kovacevic was clearly outplayed. Serve quality has been average (6.6/10) — neither a weapon nor a significant liability. Break point efficiency is a red flag — A. Kovacevic has been losing the important points, with a BP efficiency of -20 over recent matches.

D. Merida Aguilar has been inconsistent recently, going 3–2 over the last five matches. Form is mixed — DS ranging from -16.8 to 10.1, with at least one match where D. Merida Aguilar was clearly outplayed. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.9/10, leaving D. Merida Aguilar vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure.