DohaHardSemi-finals20 Feb 2026 · 17:40
C. Alcaraz
#2 · Spain
VS
A. Rublev
#12 · Russia
ALCARAZ
1.17
·
RUBLEV
5.84

Odds

Market
Alcaraz
Rublev
Winner
1.17
5.84
Total
line 17.5
1.18
Over 17.5
4.01
Under 17.5
Total
line 18.5
1.28
Over 18.5
3.08
Under 18.5
Handicap
games
7.6
-7.5 games
1.06
+7.5 games
Handicap
games
6.95
-7.0 games
1.07
+7 games

Player analysis

C. Alcaraz shows a 4–1 form record, though the level of opposition has been mixed — average ranking of opponents is 35. Form is mixed — DS ranging from -5.3 to 21.6, with at least one match where C. Alcaraz was clearly outplayed. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.2/10, leaving C. Alcaraz vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure.

DS 8.67Trend mixed

A. Rublev has been inconsistent recently, going 3–2 over the last five matches. Form is mixed — DS ranging from -14.0 to 11.3, with at least one match where A. Rublev was clearly outplayed. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.8/10, leaving A. Rublev vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure.

DS 1.02Trend up

Recent form

Hard court stats

Alcaraz
Stat
Rublev
78%
Win rate
62.8%
156–44
W–L
311–184

Avg stats — last 5

1st serve %60%
1st serve won70%
2nd serve won60%
BP converted50%
BP saved50%
Aces3
Double faults3
1st serve %60%
1st serve won70%
2nd serve won50%
BP converted30%
BP saved70%
Aces3
Double faults3

Head to head

Career meetings between these two players (all tournaments), not only this event. The match at the top of the page is the current tournament fixture.

51
Hard 20
Grass 10
Indoor 20
Clay 01
C. Alcaraz vs A. Rublev head to head match history
DateTournamentSurfaceRoundWinnerScore
DohaHardSemi-finalsAlcaraz7-6 6-4
CincinnatiHardQuarter-finalsAlcaraz3-6 6-4 5-7
WimbledonGrass1/8-finalsAlcaraz7-6 3-6 4-6 4-6
ATP Finals - TurinIndoorAlcaraz6-3 7-6
ATP MadridClayQuarter-finalsRublev4-6 6-3 6-2
ATP Finals - TurinIndoorAlcaraz7-5 6-2