Odds
Player analysis
J. Sinner arrives in exceptional form — five wins from five, all against top-21 opposition. Serve quality has been average (7.0/10) — neither a weapon nor a significant liability.
C. Alcaraz has been inconsistent recently, going 3–2 over the last five matches. Point margins have been modest — DS averaging +7.2. Wins have been functional rather than dominant. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.2/10, leaving C. Alcaraz vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Break point efficiency is a red flag — C. Alcaraz has been losing the important points, with a BP efficiency of -27 over recent matches.
Recent form
Clay court stats
Avg stats — last 5
Head to head
Career meetings between these two players (all tournaments), not only this event. The match at the top of the page is the current tournament fixture.
| Date | Tournament | Surface | Round | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Finals - Turin | Indoor | Final | Sinner | 6-7 5-7 | |
| US Open | Hard | Final | Alcaraz | 2-6 6-3 1-6 4-6 | |
| Wimbledon | Grass | Final | Sinner | 4-6 6-4 6-4 6-4 | |
| French Open | Clay | Final | Alcaraz | 6-4 7-6 4-6 6-7 6-7 | |
| Rome | Clay | Final | Alcaraz | 6-7 1-6 | |
| ATP Beijing | Hard | Final | Alcaraz | 7-6 4-6 6-7 | |
| ATP French Open | Clay | Semi-finals | Alcaraz | 2-6 6-3 3-6 6-4 6-3 |