Odds
Player analysis
D. Altmaier comes into this match in difficult form — 2 wins from the last 5. Form is mixed — DS ranging from -8.5 to 22.6, with at least one match where D. Altmaier was clearly outplayed. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.1/10, leaving D. Altmaier vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Break point efficiency is a red flag — D. Altmaier has been losing the important points, with a BP efficiency of -13 over recent matches.
D. Medvedev has been inconsistent recently, going 3–2 over the last five matches. Form is mixed — DS ranging from -7.6 to 18.5, with at least one match where D. Medvedev was clearly outplayed. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.4/10, leaving D. Medvedev vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Break point efficiency has been exceptional (+44) — converting opportunities and shutting down threats at the critical moments.
Recent form
2W 3L last 5
| 6 Apr | Machac | 4-6 6-1 3-6 | L |
| 3 Apr | Prizmic | 3-6 7-6 7-6 | W |
| 3 Apr | Marozsan | 2-6 6-7 | L |
| 31 Mar | Martinez | 6-1 6-4 | W |
| 29 Mar | Medjedovic | 2-6 4-6 | L |
3W 2L last 5
| 23 Mar | Cerundolo | 6-0 4-6 7-5 | L |
| 21 Mar | Sakamoto | 7-6 3-6 1-6 | W |
| 15 Mar | Sinner | 6-7 6-7 | L |
| 14 Mar | Alcaraz | 3-6 6-7 | W |
| 13 Mar | Draper | 1-6 5-7 | W |

