D. Altmaier comes into this match in difficult form — 2 wins from the last 5. Form is mixed — DS ranging from -8.5 to 22.6, with at least one match where D. Altmaier was clearly outplayed. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.1/10, leaving D. Altmaier vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Break point efficiency is a red flag — D. Altmaier has been losing the important points, with a BP efficiency of -13 over recent matches.

J. Sinner arrives in exceptional form — five wins from five, all against top-20 opposition. Serve quality has been average (7.0/10) — neither a weapon nor a significant liability. Good performance in key moments — break point efficiency of +18 over the last five.