Odds
Player analysis
A. Sabalenka comes in with a 4–1 record over recent matches, with wins against quality opposition in the top 23 on average. Form is mixed — DS ranging from -0.5 to 17.5, with at least one match where A. Sabalenka was clearly outplayed. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.4/10, leaving A. Sabalenka vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure.
A. Anisimova has been inconsistent recently, going 3–2 over the last five matches. Point margins have been modest — DS averaging +5.2. Wins have been functional rather than dominant. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.8/10, leaving A. Anisimova vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Break point efficiency is a red flag — A. Anisimova has been losing the important points, with a BP efficiency of -43 over recent matches.
Recent form
2W 3L last 5
| 24 Mar | Anisimova | 2-6 2-6 | W |
| 21 Mar | Anisimova | 6-4 6-2 | L |
| 20 Mar | Anisimova | 6-1 5-7 6-4 | L |
| 11 Mar | Mboko | 6-4 6-1 | L |
| 9 Mar | Raducanu | 1-6 1-6 | W |
1W 4L last 5
| 28 Apr | Sabalenka | 6-2 2-6 6-7 | W |
| 27 Apr | Sabalenka | 6-7 6-3 6-2 | L |
| 25 Apr | Sabalenka | 6-1 6-4 | L |
| 23 Apr | Sabalenka | 7-5 6-3 | L |
| 28 Mar | Sabalenka | 6-2 4-6 6-3 | L |
Clay court stats
Avg stats — last 5
Head to head
Career meetings between these two players (all tournaments), not only this event. The match at the top of the page is the current tournament fixture.
| Date | Tournament | Surface | Round | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Finals - Riyadh | Indoor | Semi-finals | Sabalenka | 6-3 3-6 6-3 | |
| US Open | Hard | Final | Sabalenka | 6-3 7-6 | |
| Wimbledon | Grass | Semi-finals | Anisimova | 4-6 6-4 4-6 | |
| French Open | Clay | 1/8-finals | Sabalenka | 7-5 6-3 | |
| Toronto | Hard | Quarter-finals | Anisimova | 6-4 6-2 | |
| WTA Australian Open | Hard | 1/8-finals | Sabalenka | 3-6 2-6 | |
| Rome | Clay | Quarter-finals | Sabalenka | 4-6 6-3 6-2 | |
| Madrid | Clay | 1/32-finals | Anisimova | 6-2 3-6 6-4 | |
| Charleston | Clay | 1/8-finals | Anisimova | 6-3 4-6 3-6 |

