Rio de JaneiroClay1/8-finals20 Feb 2026 · 02:15
M. Berrettini
#68 · Italy
VS
D. Lajovic
#127 · Serbia
BERRETTINI
1.36
·
LAJOVIC
3.44

Odds

Market
Berrettini
Lajovic
Winner
1.36
3.44
Total
line 19.0
1.23
Over 19.0
3.5
Under 19.0
Total
line 19.5
1.35
Over 19.5
2.84
Under 19.5
Handicap
games
7.2
-7.0 games
1.07
+7 games
Handicap
games
4.5
-6.5 games
1.17
+6.5 games

Player analysis

M. Berrettini comes into this match in difficult form — 2 wins from the last 5. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -4.0, meaning M. Berrettini has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.3/10, leaving M. Berrettini vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Break point efficiency is a red flag — M. Berrettini has been losing the important points, with a BP efficiency of -14 over recent matches.

DS -4Trend up

D. Lajovic comes into this match in difficult form — 2 wins from the last 5. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -3.5, meaning D. Lajovic has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.7/10, leaving D. Lajovic vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Break point efficiency is a red flag — D. Lajovic has been losing the important points, with a BP efficiency of -16 over recent matches.

DS -3.54Trend mixed

Recent form

Recent form bar chartLWLLW

2W 3L last 5

6 MarZverev3-6 4-6L
5 MarMannarino4-6 7-5 7-5W
24 FebNava6-3 6-4L
20 FebBuse6-3 2-6 6-3L
20 FebLajovic3-6 6-4 6-2W
Recent form bar chartLLWLW

2W 3L last 5

23 FebHanfmann0-6 3-6L
20 FebBerrettini3-6 6-4 6-2L
16 FebAltmaier6-4 7-6W
15 FebMonteiro2-6 6-3 6-3L
14 FebDellien6-3 6-7 1-6W

Clay court stats

Berrettini
Stat
Lajovic
68.5%
Win rate
58.3%
98–45
W–L
270–193

Avg stats — last 5

1st serve %70%
1st serve won70%
2nd serve won50%
BP converted30%
BP saved60%
Aces8
Double faults2
1st serve %70%
1st serve won70%
2nd serve won40%
BP converted30%
BP saved50%
Aces5
Double faults1