M. Berrettini comes into this match in difficult form — 1 wins from the last 5. Matches have been close throughout — average DS of +0.6 with a downward trend. M. Berrettini is winning on the scoreboard but not pulling away. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.2/10, leaving M. Berrettini vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure.

D. Lajovic has been inconsistent recently, going 3–2 over the last five matches. Matches have been close throughout — average DS of +0.1 with a downward trend. D. Lajovic is winning on the scoreboard but not pulling away. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.4/10, leaving D. Lajovic vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Break point efficiency is a red flag — D. Lajovic has been losing the important points, with a BP efficiency of -18 over recent matches.