MadridClay1/32-finals25 Apr 2025 · 11:10
K. Boulter
#62 · United Kingdom
VS
J. Paolini
#8 · Italy
BOULTER
4.63
·
PAOLINI
1.22

Odds

Market
Boulter
Paolini
Winner
4.63
1.22
Total
line 16.5
1.25
Over 16.5
4.06
Under 16.5
Total
line 17.0
1.24
Over 17.0
3.5
Under 17.0
Handicap
games
3.34
-2.5 games
1.3
+2.5 games
Handicap
games
3.15
-3.0 games
1.33
+3 games

Player analysis

K. Boulter comes into this match in difficult form — 2 wins from the last 5. Form is mixed — DS ranging from -12.9 to 16.9, with at least one match where K. Boulter was clearly outplayed. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.9/10, leaving K. Boulter vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Break point efficiency is a red flag — K. Boulter has been losing the important points, with a BP efficiency of -14 over recent matches.

DS 0.63Trend mixed

J. Paolini has been inconsistent recently, going 3–2 over the last five matches. Form is mixed — DS ranging from -6.0 to 8.0, with at least one match where J. Paolini was clearly outplayed. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.9/10, leaving J. Paolini vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Good performance in key moments — break point efficiency of +14 over the last five.

DS 1.37Trend up

Recent form

Clay court stats

Boulter
Stat
Paolini
54.2%
Win rate
59.4%
13–11
W–L
117–80

Avg stats — last 5

1st serve %60%
1st serve won60%
2nd serve won50%
BP converted50%
BP saved40%
Aces3
Double faults4
1st serve %70%
1st serve won60%
2nd serve won50%
BP converted50%
BP saved60%
Aces5
Double faults2

Head to head

Career meetings between these two players (all tournaments), not only this event. The match at the top of the page is the current tournament fixture.

14
Hard 02
Clay 01
Grass 01
Indoor 10
K. Boulter vs J. Paolini head to head match history
DateTournamentSurfaceRoundWinnerScore
WTA MeridaHardQuarter-finalsPaolini0-6 6-3 6-3
MadridClay1/32-finalsPaolini1-6 2-6
WTA EastbourneGrassQuarter-finalsPaolini1-6 6-7
WTA LinzIndoor1/16-finalsBoulter6-2 6-2
Indian WellsHard1/64-finalsPaolini3-6 2-6