Odds
Player analysis
A. Zverev shows a 4–1 form record, though the level of opposition has been mixed — average ranking of opponents is 57. Point dominance has been clear and improving — average DS of +12.9, trending upward over the last three matches. Serve quality has been average (7.4/10) — neither a weapon nor a significant liability. Break point efficiency is a red flag — A. Zverev has been losing the important points, with a BP efficiency of -18 over recent matches.
N. Djokovic has been inconsistent recently, going 3–2 over the last five matches. Form is mixed — DS ranging from -5.4 to 11.1, with at least one match where N. Djokovic was clearly outplayed. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.4/10, leaving N. Djokovic vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure.
Recent form
1W 4L last 5
| 12 Mar | Djokovic | 6-4 4-6 6-7 | W |
| 9 Mar | Djokovic | 6-4 1-6 6-4 | L |
| 7 Mar | Djokovic | 4-6 6-1 6-2 | L |
| 1 Feb | Alcaraz | 2-6 6-2 6-3 7-5 | L |
| 30 Jan | Djokovic | 3-6 6-3 4-6 6-4 6-4 | L |
Clay court stats
Avg stats — last 5
Head to head
Career meetings between these two players (all tournaments), not only this event. The match at the top of the page is the current tournament fixture.
| Date | Tournament | Surface | Round | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| French Open | Clay | Quarter-finals | Djokovic | 6-4 3-6 2-6 4-6 | |
| ATP Cincinnati | Hard | Semi-finals | Djokovic | 6-7 5-7 | |
| Finals - Turin | Indoor | Semi-finals | Zverev | 6-7 6-4 3-6 | |
| US Open | Hard | Semi-finals | Djokovic | 4-6 6-2 6-4 4-6 6-2 | |
| Olympic Games | Grass | Semi-finals | Zverev | 6-1 3-6 1-6 |