MadridClaySemi-finals2 May 2025 · 20:10
J. Draper
#25 · United Kingdom
VS
L. Musetti
#5 · Italy
DRAPER
1.6
·
MUSETTI
2.52

Odds

Market
Draper
Musetti
Winner
1.6
2.52

Player analysis

J. Draper has been inconsistent recently, going 3–2 over the last five matches. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -0.1, meaning J. Draper has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.3/10, leaving J. Draper vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Break point efficiency is a red flag — J. Draper has been losing the important points, with a BP efficiency of -11 over recent matches.

DS -0.14Trend mixed

L. Musetti has been inconsistent recently, going 3–2 over the last five matches. Form is mixed — DS ranging from -17.1 to 17.6, with at least one match where L. Musetti was clearly outplayed. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.2/10, leaving L. Musetti vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure.

DS 1.89Trend mixed

Recent form

Clay court stats

Draper
Stat
Musetti
56.9%
Win rate
63.3%
29–22
W–L
136–79

Avg stats — last 5

1st serve %60%
1st serve won80%
2nd serve won50%
BP converted30%
Aces7
Double faults3
BP saved60%
1st serve %60%
1st serve won70%
2nd serve won50%
BP converted40%
BP saved70%
Aces6
Double faults2

Head to head

Career meetings between these two players (all tournaments), not only this event. The match at the top of the page is the current tournament fixture.

40
Clay 10
Indoor 30
J. Draper vs L. Musetti head to head match history
DateTournamentSurfaceRoundWinnerScore
MadridClaySemi-finalsDraper6-3 7-6
ATP ViennaIndoorSemi-finalsDraper2-6 4-6
SofiaIndoor1/8-finalsDraper5-7 2-6
Next Gen Finals - MilanIndoorDraper1-4 3-4