MadridClay1/8-finals30 Apr 2025 · 16:10
J. Draper
#25 · United Kingdom
VS
T. Paul
#18 · USA
DRAPER
1.56
·
PAUL
2.62

Odds

Market
Draper
Paul
Winner
1.56
2.62
Total
line 18.5
1.13
Over 18.5
4.5
Under 18.5
Total
line 19.0
1.16
Over 19.0
4.2
Under 19.0
Handicap
games
8
-6.5 games
1.06
+6.5 games
Handicap
games
7.5
-6.0 games
1.07
+6 games

Player analysis

J. Draper has been inconsistent recently, going 3–2 over the last five matches. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -0.1, meaning J. Draper has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.3/10, leaving J. Draper vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Break point efficiency is a red flag — J. Draper has been losing the important points, with a BP efficiency of -11 over recent matches.

DS -0.14Trend mixed

T. Paul shows a 4–1 form record, though the level of opposition has been mixed — average ranking of opponents is 47. Matches have been close throughout — average DS of +4.6 with a downward trend. T. Paul is winning on the scoreboard but not pulling away. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.4/10, leaving T. Paul vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure.

DS 4.59Trend down

Recent form

Clay court stats

Draper
Stat
Paul
56.9%
Win rate
64.8%
29–22
W–L
114–62

Avg stats — last 5

1st serve %60%
1st serve won80%
2nd serve won50%
BP converted30%
Aces7
Double faults3
BP saved60%
1st serve %60%
1st serve won70%
2nd serve won50%
BP converted40%
BP saved70%
Aces6
Double faults1

Head to head

Career meetings between these two players (all tournaments), not only this event. The match at the top of the page is the current tournament fixture.

42
Clay 10
Grass 01
Hard 31
J. Draper vs T. Paul head to head match history
DateTournamentSurfaceRoundWinnerScore
MadridClay1/8-finalsDraper6-2 6-2
ATP LondonGrassQuarter-finalsPaul3-6 7-5 4-6
ATP AcapulcoHard1/16-finalsDraper6-0 6-4
ATP Australian OpenHard1/32-finalsPaul6-2 3-6 6-3 7-5
ATP AdelaideHardQuarter-finalsDraper1-6 4-6
Adelaide 2Hard1/8-finalsDraper4-6 4-6