D. Medvedev has been inconsistent recently, going 3–2 over the last five matches. Form is mixed — DS ranging from -7.6 to 18.5, with at least one match where D. Medvedev was clearly outplayed. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.4/10, leaving D. Medvedev vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Break point efficiency has been exceptional (+44) — converting opportunities and shutting down threats at the critical moments.

M. Fucsovics comes into this match in difficult form — 2 wins from the last 5. Form is mixed — DS ranging from -11.9 to 17.1, with at least one match where M. Fucsovics was clearly outplayed. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.3/10, leaving M. Fucsovics vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Break point efficiency is a red flag — M. Fucsovics has been losing the important points, with a BP efficiency of -38 over recent matches.