Odds
Player analysis
A. Gea has been inconsistent recently, going 3–2 over the last five matches. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -0.5, meaning A. Gea has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.7/10, leaving A. Gea vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure.
T. Machac comes into this match in difficult form — 2 wins from the last 5. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -3.3, meaning T. Machac has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.8/10, leaving T. Machac vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Break point efficiency is a red flag — T. Machac has been losing the important points, with a BP efficiency of -19 over recent matches.
Recent form
3W 2L last 5
| 11 Apr | Kypson | 1-6 4-6 | L |
| 6 Apr | Contri | 6-2 3-6 6-1 | L |
| 21 Mar | Jacquet | 6-7 7-6 6-1 | W |
| 20 Mar | Neumayer | 6-7 6-4 3-6 | W |
| 19 Mar | Michalski | 3-6 6-7 | W |
2W 3L last 5
| 9 Apr | Sinner | 1-6 7-6 3-6 | L |
| 8 Apr | Cerundolo | 6-7 3-6 | W |
| 6 Apr | Altmaier | 4-6 6-1 3-6 | W |
| 2 Apr | Jodar | 6-4 4-6 6-3 | L |
| 21 Mar | Moutet | 6-0 1-6 6-4 | L |

