ParisIndoor1/32-finals27 Oct 2025 · 17:10
L. Sonego
#66 · Italy
VS
S. Korda
#41 · USA
SONEGO
2.74
·
KORDA
1.5

Odds

Market
Sonego
Korda
Winner
2.74
1.5
Total
line 19.5
1.23
Over 19.5
3.42
Under 19.5
Total
line 20.0
1.27
Over 20.0
3.2
Under 20.0
Handicap
games
2.23
-2.0 games
1.68
+2 games
Handicap
games
2.05
-2.5 games
1.8
+2.5 games

Player analysis

L. Sonego comes into this match in difficult form — 2 wins from the last 5. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -0.1, meaning L. Sonego has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.3/10, leaving L. Sonego vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Break point efficiency is a red flag — L. Sonego has been losing the important points, with a BP efficiency of -21 over recent matches.

DS -0.08Trend mixed

S. Korda has been inconsistent recently, going 3–2 over the last five matches. Form is mixed — DS ranging from -3.1 to 25.3, with at least one match where S. Korda was clearly outplayed. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.2/10, leaving S. Korda vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Break point efficiency is a red flag — S. Korda has been losing the important points, with a BP efficiency of -11 over recent matches.

DS 9.45Trend mixed

Recent form

Avg stats — last 5

1st serve %70%
1st serve won70%
2nd serve won50%
BP converted30%
BP saved50%
Aces7
Double faults2
1st serve %60%
1st serve won80%
2nd serve won50%
BP converted50%
BP saved40%
Aces7
Double faults2

Head to head

Career meetings between these two players (all tournaments), not only this event. The match at the top of the page is the current tournament fixture.

32
Indoor 20
Hard 11
Clay 01
L. Sonego vs S. Korda head to head match history
DateTournamentSurfaceRoundWinnerScore
ParisIndoor1/32-finalsSonego6-2 6-3
ATP AdelaideHard1/8-finalsKorda4-6 6-7
MetzIndoorQuarter-finalsSonego6-4 6-4
San DiegoHard1/8-finalsSonego6-4 6-3
ParmaClay1/8-finalsKorda1-6 5-7