Odds
Player analysis
F. Tiafoe has been inconsistent recently, going 3–2 over the last five matches. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -5.1, meaning F. Tiafoe has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.1/10, leaving F. Tiafoe vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Good performance in key moments — break point efficiency of +23 over the last five.
S. Korda has been inconsistent recently, going 3–2 over the last five matches. Form is mixed — DS ranging from -3.1 to 25.3, with at least one match where S. Korda was clearly outplayed. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.2/10, leaving S. Korda vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Break point efficiency is a red flag — S. Korda has been losing the important points, with a BP efficiency of -11 over recent matches.
Recent form
3W 2L last 5
| 4 Apr | Popyrin | 6-3 4-6 6-7 | W |
| 4 Apr | Paul | 7-5 4-6 7-6 | L |
| 3 Apr | Hijikata | 4-6 6-3 2-6 | W |
| 26 Mar | Sinner | 2-6 2-6 | L |
| 24 Mar | Atmane | 4-6 6-1 4-6 | W |
3W 2L last 5
| 24 Mar | Landaluce | 6-2 6-7 4-6 | L |
| 22 Mar | Alcaraz | 3-6 7-5 4-6 | W |
| 21 Mar | Carabelli | 0-6 3-6 | W |
| 8 Mar | Minaur | 6-4 4-6 4-6 | L |
| 6 Mar | Comesana | 7-5 6-0 | W |
Clay court stats
Avg stats — last 5
Head to head
Career meetings between these two players (all tournaments), not only this event. The match at the top of the page is the current tournament fixture.
| Date | Tournament | Surface | Round | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dallas | Indoor | 1/8-finals | Korda | 7-5 6-1 | |
| French Open | Clay | 1/16-finals | Tiafoe | 7-6 6-3 6-4 | |
| ATP Washington | Hard | Semi-finals | Korda | 4-6 4-6 | |
| ATP London | Grass | 1/8-finals | Korda | 6-7 3-6 | |
| Cincinnati | Hard | 1/16-finals | Korda | 6-4 1-6 4-6 | |
| Estoril | Clay | Semi-finals | Tiafoe | 6-4 6-7 4-6 |

