Odds
Player analysis
T. Machac comes into this match in difficult form — 1 wins from the last 5. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -7.3, meaning T. Machac has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.8/10, leaving T. Machac vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Break point efficiency is a red flag — T. Machac has been losing the important points, with a BP efficiency of -27 over recent matches.
F. Tiafoe has been inconsistent recently, going 3–2 over the last five matches. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -5.1, meaning F. Tiafoe has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.1/10, leaving F. Tiafoe vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Good performance in key moments — break point efficiency of +23 over the last five.
Recent form
1W 4L last 5
| 2 Apr | Jodar | 6-4 4-6 6-3 | L |
| 21 Mar | Moutet | 6-0 1-6 6-4 | L |
| 19 Mar | Nava | 6-2 4-6 1-6 | W |
| 16 Feb | Sinner | 1-6 4-6 | L |
| 24 Jan | Musetti | 5-7 6-4 6-2 5-7 6-2 | L |
3W 2L last 5
| 4 Apr | Paul | 7-5 4-6 7-6 | L |
| 4 Apr | Popyrin | 6-3 4-6 6-7 | W |
| 3 Apr | Hijikata | 4-6 6-3 2-6 | W |
| 26 Mar | Sinner | 2-6 2-6 | L |
| 24 Mar | Atmane | 4-6 6-1 4-6 | W |

