Odds
Player analysis
J. Sinner arrives in exceptional form — five wins from five. Serve quality has been average (7.0/10) — neither a weapon nor a significant liability. Break point efficiency has been exceptional (+51) — converting opportunities and shutting down threats at the critical moments.
D. Medvedev shows a 4–1 form record, though the level of opposition has been mixed — average ranking of opponents is 87. Point margins have been modest — DS averaging +5.1. Wins have been functional rather than dominant. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.9/10, leaving D. Medvedev vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure.
Recent form
Clay court stats
Avg stats — last 5
Head to head
Career meetings between these two players (all tournaments), not only this event. The match at the top of the page is the current tournament fixture.
| Date | Tournament | Surface | Round | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ATP Indian Wells | Hard | Indian Wells - Final | Sinner | 6-7 6-7 | |
| ATP Finals - Turin | Indoor | Sinner | 6-3 6-4 | ||
| ATP Shanghai | Hard | Quarter-finals | Sinner | 6-1 6-4 | |
| ATP US Open | Hard | Quarter-finals | Sinner | 6-2 1-6 6-1 6-4 | |
| ATP Wimbledon | Grass | Quarter-finals | Medvedev | 7-6 4-6 6-7 6-2 3-6 | |
| ATP Miami | Hard | Semi-finals | Sinner | 1-6 2-6 | |
| ATP Australian Open | Hard | Final | Sinner | 3-6 3-6 6-4 6-4 6-3 | |
| ATP Finals - Turin | Indoor | Semi-finals | Sinner | 6-3 6-7 6-1 | |
| ATP Vienna | Indoor | Final | Sinner | 6-7 6-4 3-6 |

