RomeClayATP Semi-finals15 May 2026 · 19:00
J. Sinner
#1 · Italy
VS
D. Medvedev
#9 · Russia
SINNER
1.079
·
MEDVEDEV
10.22

Odds

Market
Sinner
Medvedev
Change
Winner
1.079
10.22
Total
line 21.5
2.42
Over 21.5
1.47
Under 21.5
Total
line 20.5
1.92
Over 20.5
1.79
Under 20.5
Handicap
games
1.32
+5.5 games
2.95
-5.5 games
Handicap
games
2.15
+3.5 games
1.65
-3.5 games

Player analysis

J. Sinner arrives in exceptional form — five wins from five. Serve quality has been average (7.0/10) — neither a weapon nor a significant liability. Break point efficiency has been exceptional (+51) — converting opportunities and shutting down threats at the critical moments.

DS 23.08Trend mixed

D. Medvedev shows a 4–1 form record, though the level of opposition has been mixed — average ranking of opponents is 87. Point margins have been modest — DS averaging +5.1. Wins have been functional rather than dominant. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.9/10, leaving D. Medvedev vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure.

DS 5.06Trend mixed

Recent form

Clay court stats

Sinner
Stat
Medvedev
71.8%
Win rate
57.4%
89–35
W–L
58–43

Avg stats — last 5

1st serve %60%
1st serve won80%
2nd serve won60%
BP converted70%
BP saved90%
Aces5
Double faults1
1st serve %60%
1st serve won70%
2nd serve won40%
BP converted50%
BP saved40%
Aces5
Double faults4

Head to head

Career meetings between these two players (all tournaments), not only this event. The match at the top of the page is the current tournament fixture.

81
Hard 50
Indoor 30
Grass 01
J. Sinner vs D. Medvedev head to head match history
DateTournamentSurfaceRoundWinnerScore
ATP Indian WellsHardIndian Wells - FinalSinner6-7 6-7
ATP Finals - TurinIndoorSinner6-3 6-4
ATP ShanghaiHardQuarter-finalsSinner6-1 6-4
ATP US OpenHardQuarter-finalsSinner6-2 1-6 6-1 6-4
ATP WimbledonGrassQuarter-finalsMedvedev7-6 4-6 6-7 6-2 3-6
ATP MiamiHardSemi-finalsSinner1-6 2-6
ATP Australian OpenHardFinalSinner3-6 3-6 6-4 6-4 6-3
ATP Finals - TurinIndoorSemi-finalsSinner6-3 6-7 6-1
ATP ViennaIndoorFinalSinner6-7 6-4 3-6