RomeClay1/8-finals12 May 2026 · 15:00
J. Sinner
#1 · Italy
VS
A. Pellegrino
#155 · Italy
SINNER
1.01
·
PELLEGRINO
19

Odds

Market
Sinner
Pellegrino
Change
Winner
1.01
19
Total
line 13.5
1.01
Over 13.5
12
Under 13.5
Total
line 14.5
1.07
Over 14.5
5.75
Under 14.5
Handicap
games
13
-10.5 games
1
+10.5 games
Handicap
games
12.2
-10.0 games
1.01
+10 games

Player analysis

J. Sinner arrives in exceptional form — five wins from five, all against top-39 opposition. Serve quality has been average (7.2/10) — neither a weapon nor a significant liability. Break point efficiency has been exceptional (+42) — converting opportunities and shutting down threats at the critical moments.

DS 23Trend down

A. Pellegrino shows a 4–1 form record, though the level of opposition has been mixed — average ranking of opponents is 88. Point margins have been modest — DS averaging +8.0. Wins have been functional rather than dominant. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.1/10, leaving A. Pellegrino vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure.

DS 7.97Trend mixed

Recent form

Clay court stats

Sinner
Stat
Pellegrino
71.8%
Win rate
54.6%
89–35
W–L
247–205

Avg stats — last 5

1st serve %60%
1st serve won80%
2nd serve won70%
BP converted60%
BP saved100%
Aces5
Double faults1
1st serve %60%
1st serve won70%
2nd serve won50%
BP converted40%
BP saved60%
Aces3
Double faults2