DohaHard1/8-finals18 Feb 2026 · 14:05
D. Medvedev
#10 · Russia
VS
S. Tsitsipas
#80 · Greece
MEDVEDEV
1.38
·
TSITSIPAS
3.35

Odds

Market
Medvedev
Tsitsipas
Winner
1.38
3.35
Total
line 19.0
1.23
Over 19.0
3.5
Under 19.0
Total
line 19.5
1.36
Over 19.5
2.79
Under 19.5
Handicap
games
5.2
-6.0 games
1.13
+6 games
Handicap
games
3.48
-5.5 games
1.27
+5.5 games

Player analysis

D. Medvedev comes into this match in difficult form — 2 wins from the last 5. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -6.4, meaning D. Medvedev has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.4/10, leaving D. Medvedev vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Break point efficiency is a red flag — D. Medvedev has been losing the important points, with a BP efficiency of -10 over recent matches.

DS -6.43Trend mixed

S. Tsitsipas has been inconsistent recently, going 3–2 over the last five matches. Matches have been close throughout — average DS of +4.7 with a downward trend. S. Tsitsipas is winning on the scoreboard but not pulling away. Serve quality has been average (6.7/10) — neither a weapon nor a significant liability. Good performance in key moments — break point efficiency of +24 over the last five.

DS 4.7Trend down

Recent form

Hard court stats

Medvedev
Stat
Tsitsipas
72.6%
Win rate
63.4%
378–143
W–L
255–147

Avg stats — last 5

1st serve %60%
1st serve won70%
2nd serve won40%
BP converted40%
BP saved50%
Aces4
Double faults5
1st serve %60%
1st serve won80%
2nd serve won50%
BP converted40%
BP saved90%
Aces8
Double faults2

Head to head

Career meetings between these two players (all tournaments), not only this event. The match at the top of the page is the current tournament fixture.

53
Hard 32
Indoor 11
Clay 10
D. Medvedev vs S. Tsitsipas head to head match history
DateTournamentSurfaceRoundWinnerScore
DohaHard1/8-finalsTsitsipas3-6 4-6
ATP ShanghaiHard1/8-finalsMedvedev6-7 3-6
ATP ViennaIndoorSemi-finalsMedvedev6-4 7-6
ATP RomeClaySemi-finalsMedvedev7-5 7-5
Finals - TurinIndoorTsitsipas6-3 6-7 7-6
CincinnatiHardSemi-finalsTsitsipas6-7 6-3 3-6
Australian OpenHardSemi-finalsMedvedev6-7 6-4 4-6 1-6
ShanghaiHardSemi-finalsMedvedev6-7 5-7