Odds
Player analysis
E. Rybakina shows a 4–1 form record, though the level of opposition has been mixed — average ranking of opponents is 32. Point margins have been modest — DS averaging +5.7. Wins have been functional rather than dominant. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.3/10, leaving E. Rybakina vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Break point efficiency has been exceptional (+30) — converting opportunities and shutting down threats at the critical moments.
E. Mertens comes into this match in difficult form — 2 wins from the last 5. Point margins have been modest — DS averaging +6.6. Wins have been functional rather than dominant. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.9/10, leaving E. Mertens vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure.
Recent form
4W 1L last 5
| 27 Mar | Sabalenka | 6-4 6-3 | L |
| 25 Mar | Pegula | 2-6 6-3 6-4 | W |
| 24 Mar | Gibson | 6-2 6-2 | W |
| 22 Mar | Kostyuk | 6-3 6-4 | W |
| 21 Mar | Putintseva | 6-3 6-3 | W |
Hard court stats
Avg stats — last 5
Head to head
Career meetings between these two players (all tournaments), not only this event. The match at the top of the page is the current tournament fixture.
| Date | Tournament | Surface | Round | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| WTA Australian Open | Hard | Australian Open - 1/8-finals | Rybakina | 6-1 6-3 | |
| Cincinnati | Hard | 1/16-finals | Rybakina | 4-6 6-3 7-5 | |
| WTA French Open | Clay | 1/16-finals | Rybakina | 4-6 2-6 | |
| WTA Brisbane | Hard | 1/8-finals | Rybakina | 1-6 0-6 | |
| WTA Miami | Hard | 1/8-finals | Rybakina | 6-4 6-3 | |
| Cincinnati | Hard | 1/16-finals | Rybakina | 3-6 2-6 | |
| Shenzhen | Hard | Quarter-finals | Rybakina | 6-4 4-6 6-2 |

