CincinnatiHard1/16-finals12 Aug 2025 · 04:05
E. Rybakina
#2 · Kazakhstan
VS
E. Mertens
#20 · Belgium
RYBAKINA
1.43
·
MERTENS
3.06

Odds

Market
Rybakina
Mertens
Winner
1.43
3.06

Player analysis

E. Rybakina shows a 4–1 form record, though the level of opposition has been mixed — average ranking of opponents is 32. Point margins have been modest — DS averaging +5.7. Wins have been functional rather than dominant. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.3/10, leaving E. Rybakina vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Break point efficiency has been exceptional (+30) — converting opportunities and shutting down threats at the critical moments.

DS 5.73Trend mixed

E. Mertens comes into this match in difficult form — 2 wins from the last 5. Point margins have been modest — DS averaging +6.6. Wins have been functional rather than dominant. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.9/10, leaving E. Mertens vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure.

DS 6.63Trend mixed

Recent form

Hard court stats

Rybakina
Stat
Mertens
68.8%
Win rate
62%
207–94
W–L
253–155

Avg stats — last 5

1st serve %60%
1st serve won70%
2nd serve won50%
BP converted50%
BP saved80%
Aces7
Double faults2
1st serve %60%
1st serve won70%
2nd serve won50%
BP converted50%
BP saved60%
Aces4
Double faults4

Head to head

Career meetings between these two players (all tournaments), not only this event. The match at the top of the page is the current tournament fixture.

70
Hard 60
Clay 10
E. Rybakina vs E. Mertens head to head match history
DateTournamentSurfaceRoundWinnerScore
WTA Australian OpenHardAustralian Open - 1/8-finalsRybakina6-1 6-3
CincinnatiHard1/16-finalsRybakina4-6 6-3 7-5
WTA French OpenClay1/16-finalsRybakina4-6 2-6
WTA BrisbaneHard1/8-finalsRybakina1-6 0-6
WTA MiamiHard1/8-finalsRybakina6-4 6-3
CincinnatiHard1/16-finalsRybakina3-6 2-6
ShenzhenHardQuarter-finalsRybakina6-4 4-6 6-2