Finals - TurinIndoorSemi-finals15 Nov 2025 · 14:40
J. Sinner
#1 · Italy
VS
A. De Minaur
#8 · Australia
SINNER
1.06
·
MINAUR
12.48

Odds

Market
Sinner
Minaur
Winner
1.06
12.48

Player analysis

J. Sinner arrives in exceptional form — five wins from five. Serve quality has been average (7.0/10) — neither a weapon nor a significant liability. Break point efficiency is a red flag — J. Sinner has been losing the important points, with a BP efficiency of -41 over recent matches.

DS 14.47Trend mixed

A. De Minaur comes into this match in difficult form — 2 wins from the last 5. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -3.4, meaning A. De Minaur has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.9/10, leaving A. De Minaur vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Good performance in key moments — break point efficiency of +16 over the last five.

DS -3.39Trend mixed

Recent form

Avg stats — last 5

1st serve %60%
1st serve won80%
2nd serve won70%
BP converted50%
BP saved20%
Aces5
Double faults1
1st serve %50%
1st serve won70%
2nd serve won50%
BP converted50%
BP saved70%
Aces2
Double faults3

Head to head

Career meetings between these two players (all tournaments), not only this event. The match at the top of the page is the current tournament fixture.

100
Indoor 40
Hard 50
Clay 10
J. Sinner vs A. De Minaur head to head match history
DateTournamentSurfaceRoundWinnerScore
Finals - TurinIndoorSemi-finalsSinner7-5 6-2
ViennaIndoorSemi-finalsSinner6-3 6-4
BeijingHardSemi-finalsSinner6-3 4-6 6-2
Australian OpenHardQuarter-finalsSinner6-3 6-2 6-1
ATP Davis Cup - World GroupHardSinner6-3 6-4
ATP Finals - TurinIndoorSinner6-3 6-4
ATP RotterdamIndoorFinalSinner7-5 6-4
ATP Davis Cup - World GroupHardSinner3-6
ATP TorontoHardFinalSinner6-4 6-1
MadridClay1/16-finalsSinner4-6 1-6