US OpenHardQuarter-finals4 Sep 2025 · 03:45
J. Sinner
#2 · Italy
VS
L. Musetti
#5 · Italy
SINNER
1.04
·
MUSETTI
16.85

Odds

Market
Sinner
Musetti
Winner
1.04
16.85
Total
line 26.5
1.22
Over 26.5
3.5
Under 26.5
Total
line 27.0
1.26
Over 27.0
3.25
Under 27.0
Handicap
games
11.5
-12.5 games
1.02
+12.5 games
Handicap
games
11
-12.0 games
1.03
+12 games

Player analysis

J. Sinner arrives in exceptional form — five wins from five, all against top-20 opposition. Serve quality has been average (7.0/10) — neither a weapon nor a significant liability. Good performance in key moments — break point efficiency of +18 over the last five.

DS 13.62Trend mixed

L. Musetti has been inconsistent recently, going 3–2 over the last five matches. Form is mixed — DS ranging from -17.1 to 17.6, with at least one match where L. Musetti was clearly outplayed. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.2/10, leaving L. Musetti vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure.

DS 1.89Trend mixed

Recent form

Hard court stats

Sinner
Stat
Musetti
80.5%
Win rate
54.3%
248–60
W–L
126–106

Avg stats — last 5

1st serve %70%
1st serve won90%
2nd serve won50%
BP converted40%
BP saved90%
Aces12
Double faults0
1st serve %60%
1st serve won70%
2nd serve won50%
BP converted40%
BP saved70%
Aces6
Double faults2

Head to head

Career meetings between these two players (all tournaments), not only this event. The match at the top of the page is the current tournament fixture.

30
Hard 10
Clay 10
Indoor 10
J. Sinner vs L. Musetti head to head match history
DateTournamentSurfaceRoundWinnerScore
US OpenHardQuarter-finalsSinner6-1 6-4 6-2
ATP Monte CarloClayQuarter-finalsSinner2-6 2-6
AntwerpIndoor1/8-finalsSinner7-5 6-2