ChengduHard1/8-finals19 Sep 2025 · 10:55
J. Shang
#260 · China
VS
B. Nakashima
#33 · USA

Odds

Market
Shang
Nakashima
Winner

Player analysis

J. Shang comes into this match in difficult form — 1 wins from the last 5. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -11.5, meaning J. Shang has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.9/10, leaving J. Shang vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Break point efficiency is a red flag — J. Shang has been losing the important points, with a BP efficiency of -34 over recent matches.

DS -11.46Trend mixed

B. Nakashima comes into this match in difficult form — 2 wins from the last 5. Point margins have been modest — DS averaging +5.4. Wins have been functional rather than dominant. Serve quality has been average (6.5/10) — neither a weapon nor a significant liability. Break point efficiency is a red flag — B. Nakashima has been losing the important points, with a BP efficiency of -37 over recent matches.

DS 5.42Trend mixed

Recent form

Hard court stats

Shang
Stat
Nakashima
60.8%
Win rate
54.8%
90–58
W–L
23–19

Avg stats — last 5

1st serve %60%
1st serve won70%
2nd serve won50%
BP converted10%
BP saved60%
Aces3
Double faults3
1st serve %70%
1st serve won80%
2nd serve won50%
BP converted30%
BP saved30%
Aces10
Double faults1