Odds
Player analysis
S. Ofner has been inconsistent recently, going 3–2 over the last five matches. Form is mixed — DS ranging from -1.2 to 12.7, with at least one match where S. Ofner was clearly outplayed. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.8/10, leaving S. Ofner vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Good performance in key moments — break point efficiency of +11 over the last five.
F. Tiafoe has been inconsistent recently, going 3–2 over the last five matches. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -5.1, meaning F. Tiafoe has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.1/10, leaving F. Tiafoe vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Good performance in key moments — break point efficiency of +23 over the last five.
Recent form
3W 2L last 5
| 28 Mar | Carreno-Busta | 6-3 3-6 4-6 | L |
| 27 Mar | Cecchinato | 7-6 7-5 | W |
| 25 Mar | Canas | 7-6 6-4 | W |
| 23 Mar | Skatov | 6-3 6-4 | W |
| 20 Mar | Baena | 6-7 6-2 1-6 | L |
3W 2L last 5
| 4 Apr | Paul | 7-5 4-6 7-6 | L |
| 4 Apr | Popyrin | 6-3 4-6 6-7 | W |
| 3 Apr | Hijikata | 4-6 6-3 2-6 | W |
| 26 Mar | Sinner | 2-6 2-6 | L |
| 24 Mar | Atmane | 4-6 6-1 4-6 | W |

