French OpenClay1/16-finals30 May 2025 · 17:20
E. Rybakina
#2 · Kazakhstan
VS
J. Ostapenko
#23 · Latvia
RYBAKINA
1.46
·
OSTAPENKO
2.93

Odds

Market
Rybakina
Ostapenko
Winner
1.46
2.93

Player analysis

E. Rybakina shows a 4–1 form record, though the level of opposition has been mixed — average ranking of opponents is 32. Point margins have been modest — DS averaging +5.7. Wins have been functional rather than dominant. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.3/10, leaving E. Rybakina vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Break point efficiency has been exceptional (+30) — converting opportunities and shutting down threats at the critical moments.

DS 5.73Trend mixed

J. Ostapenko has been inconsistent recently, going 3–2 over the last five matches. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -1.4, meaning J. Ostapenko has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.6/10, leaving J. Ostapenko vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure.

DS -1.45Trend mixed

Recent form

Clay court stats

Rybakina
Stat
Ostapenko
69.4%
Win rate
61.2%
75–33
W–L
79–50

Avg stats — last 5

1st serve %60%
1st serve won70%
2nd serve won50%
BP converted50%
BP saved80%
Aces7
Double faults2
1st serve %60%
1st serve won70%
2nd serve won40%
BP converted50%
BP saved50%
Aces4
Double faults4

Head to head

Career meetings between these two players (all tournaments), not only this event. The match at the top of the page is the current tournament fixture.

41
Clay 20
Hard 20
Grass 01
E. Rybakina vs J. Ostapenko head to head match history
DateTournamentSurfaceRoundWinnerScore
French OpenClay1/16-finalsRybakina6-2 6-2
WTA CincinnatiHard1/16-finalsRybakina6-7 6-2 6-4
WTA RomeClaySemi-finalsRybakina6-2 6-4
Australian OpenHardQuarter-finalsRybakina6-2 6-4
EastbourneGrassSemi-finalsOstapenko6-4 6-1