Odds
Player analysis
E. Rybakina shows a 4–1 form record, though the level of opposition has been mixed — average ranking of opponents is 32. Point margins have been modest — DS averaging +5.7. Wins have been functional rather than dominant. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.3/10, leaving E. Rybakina vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Break point efficiency has been exceptional (+30) — converting opportunities and shutting down threats at the critical moments.
J. Ostapenko has been inconsistent recently, going 3–2 over the last five matches. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -1.4, meaning J. Ostapenko has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.6/10, leaving J. Ostapenko vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure.
Recent form
1W 4L last 5
| 23 Mar | Baptiste | 6-3 6-4 | L |
| 22 Mar | Ostapenko | 5-7 6-2 7-5 | L |
| 20 Mar | Ostapenko | 6-4 6-4 | L |
| 9 Mar | Pegula | 4-6 6-3 6-2 | L |
| 7 Mar | Volynets | 4-6 6-7 | W |
Clay court stats
Avg stats — last 5
Head to head
Career meetings between these two players (all tournaments), not only this event. The match at the top of the page is the current tournament fixture.
| Date | Tournament | Surface | Round | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| French Open | Clay | 1/16-finals | Rybakina | 6-2 6-2 | |
| WTA Cincinnati | Hard | 1/16-finals | Rybakina | 6-7 6-2 6-4 | |
| WTA Rome | Clay | Semi-finals | Rybakina | 6-2 6-4 | |
| Australian Open | Hard | Quarter-finals | Rybakina | 6-2 6-4 | |
| Eastbourne | Grass | Semi-finals | Ostapenko | 6-4 6-1 |

