Odds
Player analysis
A. Sabalenka arrives in exceptional form — five wins from five, all against top-29 opposition. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.4/10, leaving A. Sabalenka vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure.
J. Ostapenko has been inconsistent recently, going 3–2 over the last five matches. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -1.4, meaning J. Ostapenko has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.6/10, leaving J. Ostapenko vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure.
Recent form
5W 0L last 5
| 28 Mar | Gauff | 6-2 4-6 6-3 | W |
| 27 Mar | Rybakina | 6-4 6-3 | W |
| 26 Mar | Baptiste | 6-4 6-4 | W |
| 23 Mar | McNally | 6-4 6-2 | W |
| 23 Mar | Zheng | 6-3 6-4 | W |
3W 2L last 5
| 23 Mar | Baptiste | 6-3 6-4 | L |
| 22 Mar | Paolini | 5-7 6-2 7-5 | W |
| 20 Mar | Yastremska | 6-4 6-4 | W |
| 9 Mar | Pegula | 4-6 6-3 6-2 | L |
| 7 Mar | Volynets | 4-6 6-7 | W |
Clay court stats
Avg stats — last 5
Head to head
Career meetings between these two players (all tournaments), not only this event. The match at the top of the page is the current tournament fixture.