Odds
Player analysis
J. Pegula arrives in exceptional form — five wins from five, all against top-40 opposition. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.1/10, leaving J. Pegula vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure.
J. Paolini has been inconsistent recently, going 3–2 over the last five matches. Form is mixed — DS ranging from -6.0 to 8.0, with at least one match where J. Paolini was clearly outplayed. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.9/10, leaving J. Paolini vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Good performance in key moments — break point efficiency of +14 over the last five.
Recent form
3W 2L last 5
| 22 Mar | Ostapenko | 5-7 6-2 7-5 | L |
| 20 Mar | Townsend | 3-6 6-1 2-6 | W |
| 10 Mar | Gibson | 7-5 2-6 6-1 | L |
| 8 Mar | Tomljanovic | 5-7 7-5 1-6 | W |
| 6 Mar | Potapova | 7-6 2-6 3-6 | W |
0W 5L last 5
| 5 Apr | Pegula | 6-2 6-2 | L |
| 4 Apr | Pegula | 6-4 5-7 6-3 | L |
| 3 Apr | Pegula | 3-6 6-3 6-2 | L |
| 2 Apr | Pegula | 1-6 6-1 7-6 | L |
| 1 Apr | Pegula | 4-6 6-4 7-5 | L |
Avg stats — last 5
Head to head
Career meetings between these two players (all tournaments), not only this event. The match at the top of the page is the current tournament fixture.