WTA Billie Jean King Cup - World GroupHard21 Sep 2025 · 13:15
J. Paolini
#8 · Italy
VS
J. Pegula
#5 · USA
PAOLINI
2.28
·
PEGULA
1.67

Odds

Market
Paolini
Pegula
Winner
2.28
1.67

Player analysis

J. Paolini has been inconsistent recently, going 3–2 over the last five matches. Form is mixed — DS ranging from -6.0 to 8.0, with at least one match where J. Paolini was clearly outplayed. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.9/10, leaving J. Paolini vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Good performance in key moments — break point efficiency of +14 over the last five.

DS 1.37Trend up

J. Pegula arrives in exceptional form — five wins from five, all against top-40 opposition. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.1/10, leaving J. Pegula vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure.

DS 8.81Trend mixed

Recent form

Hard court stats

Paolini
Stat
Pegula
54.2%
Win rate
66.4%
147–124
W–L
290–147

Avg stats — last 5

1st serve %70%
1st serve won60%
2nd serve won50%
BP converted50%
BP saved60%
Aces5
Double faults2
1st serve %60%
1st serve won70%
2nd serve won50%
BP converted40%
BP saved60%
Aces3
Double faults1

Head to head

Career meetings between these two players (all tournaments), not only this event. The match at the top of the page is the current tournament fixture.

13
Indoor 01
Hard 11
Clay 01
J. Paolini vs J. Pegula head to head match history
DateTournamentSurfaceRoundWinnerScore
Finals - RiyadhIndoorPegula6-2 6-3
WTA Billie Jean King Cup - World GroupHardPaolini6-4 6-2
WTA MontrealHard1/8-finalsPegula6-4
CharlestonClay1/16-finalsPegula2-6 1-6