J. Paolini has been inconsistent recently, going 3–2 over the last five matches. Form is mixed — DS ranging from -6.7 to 8.0, with at least one match where J. Paolini was clearly outplayed. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.8/10, leaving J. Paolini vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure.

D. Vekic comes into this match in difficult form — 2 wins from the last 5. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -3.8, meaning D. Vekic has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.3/10, leaving D. Vekic vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Break point efficiency is a red flag — D. Vekic has been losing the important points, with a BP efficiency of -15 over recent matches.