RomeClaySemi-finals16 May 2025 · 20:50
J. Sinner
#2 · Italy
VS
T. Paul
#18 · USA
SINNER
1.09
·
PAUL
9.34

Odds

Market
Sinner
Paul
Winner
1.09
9.34

Player analysis

J. Sinner arrives in exceptional form — five wins from five, all against top-20 opposition. Serve quality has been average (7.0/10) — neither a weapon nor a significant liability. Good performance in key moments — break point efficiency of +18 over the last five.

DS 13.62Trend mixed

T. Paul shows a 4–1 form record, though the level of opposition has been mixed — average ranking of opponents is 47. Matches have been close throughout — average DS of +4.6 with a downward trend. T. Paul is winning on the scoreboard but not pulling away. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.4/10, leaving T. Paul vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure.

DS 4.59Trend down

Recent form

Clay court stats

Sinner
Stat
Paul
71.8%
Win rate
64.8%
89–35
W–L
114–62

Avg stats — last 5

1st serve %70%
1st serve won90%
2nd serve won50%
BP converted40%
BP saved90%
Aces12
Double faults0
1st serve %60%
1st serve won70%
2nd serve won50%
BP converted40%
BP saved70%
Aces6
Double faults1

Head to head

Career meetings between these two players (all tournaments), not only this event. The match at the top of the page is the current tournament fixture.

41
Clay 20
Hard 20
Grass 01
J. Sinner vs T. Paul head to head match history
DateTournamentSurfaceRoundWinnerScore
RomeClaySemi-finalsSinner1-6 6-0 6-3
ATP US OpenHard1/8-finalsSinner7-6 7-6 6-1
ATP TorontoHardSemi-finalsSinner4-6 4-6
EastbourneGrass1/8-finalsPaul6-3 3-6 6-3
MadridClay1/32-finalsSinner7-6 6-7 3-6