F. Tiafoe has been inconsistent recently, going 3–2 over the last five matches. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -2.6, meaning F. Tiafoe has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.0/10, leaving F. Tiafoe vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure.

A. Pellegrino shows a 4–1 form record, though the level of opposition has been mixed — average ranking of opponents is 123. Point margins have been modest — DS averaging +5.6. Wins have been functional rather than dominant. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.1/10, leaving A. Pellegrino vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure.