BerlinClayQuarter-finals20 Jun 2025 · 16:10
A. Sabalenka
#1 · Belarus
VS
E. Rybakina
#2 · Kazakhstan
SABALENKA
1.61
·
RYBAKINA
2.3

Odds

Market
Sabalenka
Rybakina
Winner
1.61
2.3
Total
line 20.0
1.33
Over 20.0
2.92
Under 20.0
Total
line 20.5
1.44
Over 20.5
2.55
Under 20.5
Handicap
games
4.3
-5.0 games
1.16
+5 games
Handicap
games
3.08
-4.5 games
1.3
+4.5 games

Player analysis

A. Sabalenka comes in with a 4–1 record over recent matches, with wins against quality opposition in the top 23 on average. Form is mixed — DS ranging from -0.5 to 17.5, with at least one match where A. Sabalenka was clearly outplayed. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.4/10, leaving A. Sabalenka vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure.

DS 8.03Trend mixed

E. Rybakina shows a 4–1 form record, though the level of opposition has been mixed — average ranking of opponents is 36. Point margins have been modest — DS averaging +7.7. Wins have been functional rather than dominant. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.2/10, leaving E. Rybakina vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Break point efficiency is a red flag — E. Rybakina has been losing the important points, with a BP efficiency of -17 over recent matches.

DS 7.68Trend mixed

Recent form

Clay court stats

Sabalenka
Stat
Rybakina
69.5%
Win rate
69.4%
91–40
W–L
75–33

Avg stats — last 5

1st serve %60%
1st serve won70%
2nd serve won60%
BP converted40%
BP saved60%
Aces4
Double faults3
1st serve %60%
1st serve won70%
2nd serve won60%
BP converted50%
BP saved40%
Aces5
Double faults2

Head to head

Career meetings between these two players (all tournaments), not only this event. The match at the top of the page is the current tournament fixture.

45
Hard 23
Indoor 02
Clay 20
A. Sabalenka vs E. Rybakina head to head match history
DateTournamentSurfaceRoundWinnerScore
WTA Indian WellsHardFinalSabalenka3-6 6-3 7-6
WTA Australian OpenHardAustralian Open - FinalRybakina4-6 6-4 4-6
Finals - RiyadhIndoorFinalRybakina3-6 6-7
WuhanHardQuarter-finalsSabalenka6-3 6-3
CincinnatiHardQuarter-finalsRybakina1-6 4-6
BerlinClayQuarter-finalsSabalenka7-6 3-6 7-6
WTA Finals - RiyadhIndoorRybakina4-6 6-3 1-6
WTA MadridClaySemi-finalsSabalenka6-1 5-7 6-7
WTA BrisbaneHardFinalRybakina0-6 3-6