WTA Indian WellsHard1/32-finals6 Mar 2026 · 22:10
A. Sabalenka
#1 · Belarus
VS
H. Sakatsume
#134 · Japan
SABALENKA
1.02
·
SAKATSUME
26.71

Odds

Market
Sabalenka
Sakatsume
Winner
1.02
26.71

Player analysis

A. Sabalenka arrives in exceptional form — five wins from five, all against top-9 opposition. Dominance has been solid and consistent, averaging DS +10.6 (range: -2.0 to 22.9). The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.5/10, leaving A. Sabalenka vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Good performance in key moments — break point efficiency of +19 over the last five.

DS 10.57Trend up

H. Sakatsume comes into this match in difficult form — 2 wins from the last 5. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -4.4, meaning H. Sakatsume has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.6/10, leaving H. Sakatsume vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure.

DS -4.4Trend mixed

Recent form

Recent form bar chartWWWWW

5W 0L last 5

15 MarRybakina3-6 6-3 7-6W
14 MarNoskova6-3 6-4W
12 MarMboko7-6 6-4W
10 MarOsaka6-2 6-4W
8 MarCristian6-4 6-1W
Recent form bar chartLLLWW

2W 3L last 5

10 MarJuvan4-6 4-6L
9 MarJones6-3 2-6 3-6L
6 MarSabalenka6-4 6-2L
5 MarParks6-4 6-3W
3 MarBartunkova7-5 1-6 6-3W

Hard court stats

Sabalenka
Stat
Sakatsume
72.8%
Win rate
62.8%
302–113
W–L
155–92

Avg stats — last 5

1st serve %70%
1st serve won70%
2nd serve won60%
BP converted40%
BP saved80%
Aces8
Double faults3
1st serve %70%
1st serve won60%
2nd serve won50%
BP converted40%
BP saved50%
Aces1
Double faults2