Odds
Player analysis
C. Alcaraz has been inconsistent recently, going 3–2 over the last five matches. Point margins have been modest — DS averaging +6.7. Wins have been functional rather than dominant. Serve quality has been average (6.5/10) — neither a weapon nor a significant liability. Break point efficiency is a red flag — C. Alcaraz has been losing the important points, with a BP efficiency of -22 over recent matches.
N. Djokovic has been inconsistent recently, going 3–2 over the last five matches. Form is mixed — DS ranging from -5.4 to 11.1, with at least one match where N. Djokovic was clearly outplayed. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.4/10, leaving N. Djokovic vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure.
Recent form
2W 3L last 5
| 12 Mar | Djokovic | 6-4 4-6 6-7 | W |
| 9 Mar | Djokovic | 6-4 1-6 6-4 | L |
| 7 Mar | Djokovic | 4-6 6-1 6-2 | L |
| 1 Feb | Djokovic | 2-6 6-2 6-3 7-5 | W |
| 30 Jan | Djokovic | 3-6 6-3 4-6 6-4 6-4 | L |
Avg stats — last 5
Head to head
Career meetings between these two players (all tournaments), not only this event. The match at the top of the page is the current tournament fixture.
| Date | Tournament | Surface | Round | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Australian Open | Hard | Final | Alcaraz | 2-6 6-2 6-3 7-5 | |
| US Open | Hard | Semi-finals | Alcaraz | 4-6 6-7 2-6 | |
| Australian Open | Hard | Quarter-finals | Djokovic | 4-6 6-4 6-3 6-4 | |
| Olympic Games | Grass | Final | Djokovic | 7-6 7-6 | |
| ATP Wimbledon | Grass | Final | Alcaraz | 6-2 6-2 7-6 | |
| Exhibition Others matches | Alcaraz | 6-4 4-6 4-6 | |||
| ATP Finals - Turin | Indoor | Semi-finals | Djokovic | 3-6 2-6 | |
| ATP Cincinnati | Hard | Final | Djokovic | 7-5 6-7 6-7 | |
| ATP Wimbledon | Grass | Final | Alcaraz | 1-6 7-6 6-1 3-6 6-4 | |
| ATP French Open | Clay | Semi-finals | Djokovic | 3-6 7-5 1-6 1-6 |