M. Arnaldi arrives in exceptional form — five wins from five. Point margins have been modest — DS averaging +5.2. Wins have been functional rather than dominant. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.0/10, leaving M. Arnaldi vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure.

R. Jodar comes in with a 4–1 record over recent matches, with wins against quality opposition in the top 29 on average. Point margins have been modest — DS averaging +7.4. Wins have been functional rather than dominant. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.2/10, leaving R. Jodar vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Good performance in key moments — break point efficiency of +21 over the last five.