MiamiHard1/32-finals22 Mar 2025 · 17:55
M. Arnaldi
#107 · Italy
VS
T. Machac
#53 · Czech Republic

Odds

Market
Arnaldi
Machac
Winner

Player analysis

M. Arnaldi comes into this match in difficult form — 1 wins from the last 5. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -7.7, meaning M. Arnaldi has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.3/10, leaving M. Arnaldi vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure.

DS -7.66Trend mixed

T. Machac comes into this match in difficult form — 2 wins from the last 5. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -6.0, meaning T. Machac has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.9/10, leaving T. Machac vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Break point efficiency is a red flag — T. Machac has been losing the important points, with a BP efficiency of -35 over recent matches.

DS -5.98Trend mixed

Recent form

Hard court stats

Arnaldi
Stat
Machac
51.3%
Win rate
64.7%
81–77
W–L
154–84

Avg stats — last 5

1st serve %60%
1st serve won60%
2nd serve won40%
BP converted60%
BP saved50%
Aces3
Double faults5
1st serve %60%
1st serve won70%
2nd serve won50%
BP converted40%
BP saved30%
Aces3
Double faults2

Head to head

Career meetings between these two players (all tournaments), not only this event. The match at the top of the page is the current tournament fixture.

03
Hard 03
M. Arnaldi vs T. Machac head to head match history
DateTournamentSurfaceRoundWinnerScore
MiamiHard1/32-finalsMachac2-6 6-1 3-6
ATP MiamiHard1/8-finalsMachac6-3 6-3
ATP DubaiHardFinalMachac6-1