MiamiHard1/32-finals21 Mar 2025 · 23:45
B. Nakashima
#32 · USA
VS
R. Carballes Baena
#204 · Spain
NAKASHIMA
1.32
·
BAENA
3.65

Odds

Market
Nakashima
Baena
Winner
1.32
3.65

Player analysis

B. Nakashima comes into this match in difficult form — 2 wins from the last 5. Form is mixed — DS ranging from -16.3 to 15.2, with at least one match where B. Nakashima was clearly outplayed. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.1/10, leaving B. Nakashima vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Break point efficiency is a red flag — B. Nakashima has been losing the important points, with a BP efficiency of -28 over recent matches.

DS 0.92Trend mixed

R. Carballes Baena comes into this match in difficult form — 1 wins from the last 5. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -0.4, meaning R. Carballes Baena has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.2/10, leaving R. Carballes Baena vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Break point efficiency is a red flag — R. Carballes Baena has been losing the important points, with a BP efficiency of -22 over recent matches.

DS -0.36Trend mixed

Recent form

Hard court stats

Nakashima
Stat
Baena
63.1%
Win rate
41.7%
197–115
W–L
68–95

Avg stats — last 5

1st serve %60%
1st serve won70%
2nd serve won50%
BP converted40%
BP saved30%
Aces5
Double faults1
1st serve %70%
1st serve won60%
2nd serve won60%
BP converted40%
BP saved40%
Aces2
Double faults3

Head to head

Career meetings between these two players (all tournaments), not only this event. The match at the top of the page is the current tournament fixture.

10
Hard 10
B. Nakashima vs R. Carballes Baena head to head match history
DateTournamentSurfaceRoundWinnerScore
MiamiHard1/32-finalsNakashima6-4 4-6 6-3