Odds
Player analysis
B. Nakashima comes into this match in difficult form — 2 wins from the last 5. Form is mixed — DS ranging from -16.3 to 15.2, with at least one match where B. Nakashima was clearly outplayed. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.1/10, leaving B. Nakashima vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Break point efficiency is a red flag — B. Nakashima has been losing the important points, with a BP efficiency of -28 over recent matches.
R. Carballes Baena comes into this match in difficult form — 1 wins from the last 5. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -0.4, meaning R. Carballes Baena has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.2/10, leaving R. Carballes Baena vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Break point efficiency is a red flag — R. Carballes Baena has been losing the important points, with a BP efficiency of -22 over recent matches.
Recent form
5W 0L last 5
| 20 Mar | Ofner | 6-7 6-2 1-6 | W |
| 18 Mar | Kukushkin | 1-6 6-3 2-6 | W |
| 17 Mar | Izquierdo | 3-6 6-7 | W |
| 10 Mar | Baena | 4-6 6-3 6-7 | W |
| 3 Mar | Baena | 3-6 2-6 | W |
2W 3L last 5
| 8 Mar | Nakashima | 6-7 7-5 4-6 | W |
| 6 Mar | Nakashima | 6-3 6-4 | L |
| 28 Feb | Tiafoe | 3-6 7-6 6-4 | L |
| 27 Feb | Vacherot | 6-2 2-6 3-6 | W |
| 26 Feb | Nakashima | 6-4 6-4 | L |
Hard court stats
Avg stats — last 5
Head to head
Career meetings between these two players (all tournaments), not only this event. The match at the top of the page is the current tournament fixture.
| Date | Tournament | Surface | Round | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Miami | Hard | 1/32-finals | Nakashima | 6-4 4-6 6-3 |

