Odds
Player analysis
J. Draper has been inconsistent recently, going 3–2 over the last five matches. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -0.1, meaning J. Draper has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.3/10, leaving J. Draper vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Break point efficiency is a red flag — J. Draper has been losing the important points, with a BP efficiency of -11 over recent matches.
C. Moutet comes into this match in difficult form — 2 wins from the last 5. Form is mixed — DS ranging from -22.3 to 26.2, with at least one match where C. Moutet was clearly outplayed. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.1/10, leaving C. Moutet vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure.
Recent form
3W 2L last 5
| 20 Mar | Opelka | 6-7 6-7 | L |
| 13 Mar | Medvedev | 1-6 5-7 | L |
| 12 Mar | Djokovic | 6-4 4-6 6-7 | W |
| 9 Mar | Cerundolo | 1-6 5-7 | W |
| 7 Mar | Bautista-Agut | 6-3 3-6 2-6 | W |
2W 3L last 5
| 3 Apr | Trungelliti | 6-4 3-6 4-6 | L |
| 1 Apr | Baadi | 6-0 6-2 | W |
| 24 Mar | Sinner | 1-6 4-6 | L |
| 21 Mar | Machac | 6-0 1-6 6-4 | W |
| 15 Mar | Giron | 6-4 3-6 4-6 | L |
Clay court stats
Avg stats — last 5
Head to head
Career meetings between these two players (all tournaments), not only this event. The match at the top of the page is the current tournament fixture.
| Date | Tournament | Surface | Round | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rome | Clay | 1/8-finals | Draper | 1-6 6-4 6-3 |

