A. Sabalenka comes in with a 4–1 record over recent matches, with wins against quality opposition in the top 23 on average. Form is mixed — DS ranging from -0.5 to 17.5, with at least one match where A. Sabalenka was clearly outplayed. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.4/10, leaving A. Sabalenka vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure.

C. Gauff has been inconsistent recently, going 3–2 over the last five matches. Form is mixed — DS ranging from -5.4 to 20.8, with at least one match where C. Gauff was clearly outplayed. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.9/10, leaving C. Gauff vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Break point efficiency is a red flag — C. Gauff has been losing the important points, with a BP efficiency of -11 over recent matches.