E. Nava comes into this match in difficult form — 2 wins from the last 5. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -4.8, meaning E. Nava has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.9/10, leaving E. Nava vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Good performance in key moments — break point efficiency of +18 over the last five.

H. Hurkacz has been inconsistent recently, going 3–2 over the last five matches. Form is mixed — DS ranging from -3.7 to 22.6, with at least one match where H. Hurkacz was clearly outplayed. Serve quality has been average (6.8/10) — neither a weapon nor a significant liability.