D. Medvedev has been inconsistent recently, going 3–2 over the last five matches. Form is mixed — DS ranging from -7.6 to 18.5, with at least one match where D. Medvedev was clearly outplayed. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.4/10, leaving D. Medvedev vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Break point efficiency has been exceptional (+44) — converting opportunities and shutting down threats at the critical moments.

K. Khachanov comes into this match in difficult form — 1 wins from the last 5. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -2.1, meaning K. Khachanov has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.5/10, leaving K. Khachanov vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Break point efficiency is a red flag — K. Khachanov has been losing the important points, with a BP efficiency of -40 over recent matches.