TokyoHard1/16-finals25 Sep 2025 · 06:10
T. Machac
#53 · Czech Republic
VS
S. Shimabukuro
#112 · Japan
MACHAC
1.3
·
SHIMABUKURO
3.82

Odds

Market
Machac
Shimabukuro
Winner
1.3
3.82
Total
line 18.5
1.26
Over 18.5
3.3
Under 18.5
Total
line 19.0
1.27
Over 19.0
3.28
Under 19.0
Handicap
games
6.69
-7.0 games
1.06
+7 games
Handicap
games
4.2
-6.5 games
1.17
+6.5 games

Player analysis

T. Machac comes into this match in difficult form — 2 wins from the last 5. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -3.3, meaning T. Machac has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.8/10, leaving T. Machac vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Break point efficiency is a red flag — T. Machac has been losing the important points, with a BP efficiency of -19 over recent matches.

DS -3.29Trend mixed

S. Shimabukuro comes into this match in difficult form — 2 wins from the last 5. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -8.0, meaning S. Shimabukuro has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.9/10, leaving S. Shimabukuro vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Break point efficiency is a red flag — S. Shimabukuro has been losing the important points, with a BP efficiency of -26 over recent matches.

DS -8.04Trend mixed

Recent form

Hard court stats

Machac
Stat
Shimabukuro
64.7%
Win rate
58.8%
154–84
W–L
163–114

Avg stats — last 5

1st serve %60%
1st serve won60%
2nd serve won50%
BP converted50%
BP saved30%
Aces3
Double faults2
1st serve %60%
1st serve won60%
2nd serve won50%
BP converted20%
BP saved50%
Aces5
Double faults4